Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.011649 0.014170 0.017358 0.021790 0.027969 0.036574 0.050054
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008122 0.010681 0.014321 0.020162 0.029931 0.047071 0.083894
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006443 0.008877 0.012598 0.019157 0.031640 0.057922 0.133504
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005529 0.007901 0.011745 0.019076 0.034738 0.074149 0.232648
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004974 0.007342 0.011382 0.019678 0.039547 0.100238 0.480681
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004480 0.006777 0.010860 0.019757 0.043238 0.129179 1.043680
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003982 0.006122 0.010031 0.018904 0.044005 0.149702 2.069234
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003626 0.005665 0.009491 0.018542 0.046085 0.182023 5.909619
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003453 0.005510 0.009511 0.019528 0.053377 0.268326 177.709501
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003351 0.005471 0.009758 0.021194 0.064948 0.458040 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003253 0.005422 0.009972 0.022874 0.078931 0.853327 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003062 0.005167 0.009677 0.022950 0.085492 1.288647 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002832 0.004834 0.009211 0.022565 0.090856 2.046453 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002556 0.004381 0.008405 0.020852 0.086627 2.348757 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002347 0.004048 0.007839 0.019799 0.086061 3.146588 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002210 0.003850 0.007573 0.019714 0.092728 6.438234 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002119 0.003741 0.007508 0.020345 0.106845 29.032142 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002015 0.003590 0.007315 0.020428 0.117074 295.504742 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001884 0.003370 0.006908 0.019534 0.116232 3326.519461 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001784 0.003210 0.006643 0.019155 0.120988 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001742 0.003174 0.006705 0.020188 0.146650 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001721 0.003185 0.006900 0.021934 0.192832 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001698 0.003187 0.007070 0.023698 0.255832 NaN NaN